Gambling & pricing
Does the quoted edge survive settlement?
- Inputs
- Timestamped odds, eligibility rules, limits and final outcomes.
- Delivery
- A comparable-price model, cost-adjusted expected value and a record of exclusions.
Clients
The work is specific.
The identity is private.
Research for decisions where price, behaviour and imperfect information meet.
Engagement examples
Fictional briefs. No client relationships are implied.
Poker & decision research
Which decisions are losing value?
- Inputs
- Authorised hand histories, game structure, rake and session metadata.
- Delivery
- Decision-level analysis, population comparisons and uncertainty by sample size.
Digital assets
What remains after execution?
- Inputs
- Order-book snapshots, fills, funding, network costs and settlement records.
- Delivery
- An execution-cost model, capacity estimates and a monitored research pipeline.
The deliverable.
Decisions, evidence and limits in one document. Identity and source-sensitive details can be removed from a public version.
Open sample research noteGW-S01 / Research noteSample — fictional
The price of a small edge.
- Counterparty
- Venue / source
- Study window
- 30 days · synthetic inputs
A 2.5 percentage point change in assumed win probability produces £29,250 of additional expected value on £600,000 of modelled turnover. The result depends on the probability estimate surviving fees and execution.
- Net expected return
- 5.775%
- Incremental expected value
- £29,250
Agree the boundaries first.
The engagement scope should define who can see the material, how the output may be used and what may be published. Access to a dataset is not permission for every use.
Start with the decision and a description of the available data. Confidential source files can follow once handling terms are agreed.
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